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The Future of First-Home Buyers: Unlocking the Great Australian Dream in 2025

The Future of First-Home Buyers: Unlocking the Great Australian Dream in 2025

Key takeaways

According to Domain’s First Home Buyer Report 2025, the road to homeownership remains steep, despite some marginal improvements in affordability.

Time required to save a deposit for units has dropped by two months across the combined capitals, while time required to save for entry-priced houses has increased by one month.

Across the combined capitals, it takes around 20 months less to save for an entry-priced unit than a house. This difference is even greater in Sydney and Canberra, at 2 years and 5 months and 2 years and 4 months faster, respectively.

Mortgage stress is more widespread in our combined capitals and among entry-priced houses, with regional Australia offering the best affordability. In regional Australia, entry-priced units take up 25.9% of household income, below the 30% benchmark, while entry-priced houses exceed this at 33%.

In the combined capitals, affordability remains a struggle. Entry priced houses take up 47.1% share of household income, while units require 30.7%

For decades, Australians have been told that owning a home is the ultimate financial milestone—the cornerstone of wealth creation and security.

But in today’s market, is that dream becoming unattainable for a growing number of first-home buyers?

According to Domain’s First Home Buyer Report 2025, the road to homeownership remains steep, despite some marginal improvements in affordability.

The latest data reveals that while saving for a deposit has become slightly easier in select locations, mortgage stress has become more widespread across the country.

So, where does that leave aspiring buyers?

Is there still a viable path onto the property ladder, or are we witnessing a fundamental shift in what homeownership looks like in Australia?

The gap between wages and property prices is growing

One of the most striking findings from the report is how rapidly property prices have outpaced wage growth.

Domain’s Chief of Research and Economics, Dr. Nicola Powell, summarised it best:

“In the past five years, entry house prices have increased 58%, while unit prices have risen by 27%.

Meanwhile, inflation surged 20%, and wages only grew by 15%.

This shows the growing gap between earnings and property costs, making it harder for first-home buyers to get into the market.”

In other words, property values have skyrocketed, while incomes have barely kept up with inflation.

The result?

Many first-home buyers are finding it increasingly difficult to save for a deposit, let alone afford mortgage repayments.

For instance:

  • The time to save for a 20% deposit on an entry-priced house in Sydney is now 6 years and 9 months—the longest in the country.
  • In Melbourne, it takes 5 years and 1 month, while Brisbane and Adelaide have both seen their saving times increase due to rising property prices outpacing wage growth.
  • Darwin remains the fastest path to homeownership, requiring just 3 years and 5 months for a house and 2 years and 1 month for a unit.

Table 1. The time to save for a 20% deposit on an entry-priced home for a couple aged 25-34.

 

Area

Time to save Entry house Time to save Entry unit
 

Entry house

Annual Change (months)  

Entry unit

Annual Change (months)
Sydney 6y 9m +1m 4y 4m -2m
Melbourne 5y 1m -3m 3y 5m -2m
Brisbane 5y 6m +4m 4y 2m +5m
Adelaide 5y 6m +5m 3y 9m +4m
Perth 4y 6m +8m 2y 11m +6m
Hobart 4y 11m +2m 3y 7m -3m
Darwin 3y 5m -2m 2y 1m -3m
Canberra 5y 7m -1m 3y 3m -3m
Combined capitals  

5y 1m

 

+1m

 

3y 5m

 

-2m

Combined regionals  

4y

 

+2m

 

3y 2m

 

+1m

Australia 4y 10m +1m 3y 4m -1m
y = year, m = month.

So, while some cities remain more accessible, the trend is clear: first-home buyers need to save longer and borrow more to secure their place in the market.

Units: a faster (but not stress-free) path to homeownership

One of the report’s more optimistic takeaways is that units continue to offer a much faster route to homeownership compared to houses.

On average, buying an entry-level unit shaves almost two years off the time required to save for a deposit.

Table 2. Entry house and unit prices

 

 

 

Area

Entry houses Entry units
 

Entry price

Annual change 5-year change  

Entry price

Annual change 5-year change
 

Sydney

 

$990,000

7.6%

($70,000)

44.9%

($307,000)

 

$615,000

2.5%

($15,000)

3.4%

($20,000)

 

Melbourne

 

$670,000

 

0% ($0)

11.7%

($70,000)

 

$437,500

-1.2%

(-$5500)

-2.8%

(-$12,500)

 

Brisbane

 

$735,000

14.8%

($95,000)

69.0%

($300,000)

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