The Finest 5 Sectors, #18 | RRG Charts

Communication Providers Drops to #5

The composition of the highest 5 sectors stays largely steady this week, with solely slight changes in positioning. Shopper staples proceed to guide the pack, adopted by utilities, financials, actual property (shifting up one spot), and communication companies (dropping to fifth). This defensive lineup persists regardless of a rallying market, presenting an attention-grabbing dilemma for sector rotation methods.

1. (1) Shopper Staples – (XLP)
2. (2) Utilities – (XLU)
3. (3) Financials – (XLF)
4. (5) Actual-Property – (XLRE)*
5. (4) Communication Providers – (XLC)*
6. (6) Healthcare – (XLV)
7. (7) Industrials – (XLI)
8. (8) Supplies – (XLB)
9. (11) Expertise – (XLK)*
10. (10) Power – (XLE)
11. (9) Shopper Discretionary – (XLY)*

Weekly RRG

The weekly Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) paints an image of potential change on the horizon.

Whereas staples, utilities, actual property, and financials keep their positions within the main quadrant, they present indicators of dropping relative momentum over the previous few weeks.

Financials, notably, are teetering on the sting of rolling into the weakening quadrant.

Communication companies have already shifted, now firmly within the weakening quadrant and touring on a damaging RRG heading. This motion explains its drop to the fifth place in our sector rankings.

Day by day RRG

Switching to the day by day RRG, we see a barely totally different image for our prime sectors.

Staples, utilities, actual property, and financials are all positioned within the weakening quadrant, touring on damaging RRG headings.

This short-term view signifies that we should intently monitor these sectors to find out if they will regain momentum earlier than doubtlessly dropping out of the highest 5.

Apparently, communication companies is exhibiting indicators of life on the day by day chart. Regardless of falling to the fifth place total, its tail is now within the enhancing quadrant and shifting towards main.

The caveat? It is a very quick tail, near the benchmark—primarily shifting according to the market. This makes communication companies the sector most susceptible to dropping its top-five standing within the close to time period.

Shopper Staples

Shopper staples is bumping up in opposition to overhead resistance between $82.50 and $83.

This hesitation in upward value motion is inflicting weak spot within the RS line, which has began to dip.

Consequently, the RS momentum line is rolling over. Nonetheless, the excessive RS ratio—indicating a powerful relative development—is maintaining staples on the prime of our listing for now.

Utilities

Utilities has been flirting with a breakout because the begin of 2025, pushing in opposition to overhead resistance round $80 about 4 occasions already.

When it breaks, we’ll probably see an acceleration in the direction of the all-time excessive simply above $82.50.

Like staples, the lack to interrupt resistance is inflicting a stall within the RS line and a rollover in relative momentum.

Financials

After a powerful rally off the $42 help degree, beforehand resistance (the previous technical adage holds true), financials is now going through a problem.

The rally is approaching the previous rising help degree that marked the uptrend channel. This might trigger some hesitation in each value and relative power.

The RS line stays inside its rising channel, however momentum has waned, inflicting the inexperienced RS momentum line to roll over.

Actual-Property

Actual property moved up one place to fourth and continues to be rising from a protracted relative downtrend that started in April 2022.

The RS ratio line has picked up the relative power rally that began in early 2025 however is now stalling.

This has resulted within the inexperienced RS momentum line rolling over. On the worth chart, actual property is mid-range with room to maneuver greater.

Communication Providers

Communication companies have dropped to the fifth place, however the value chart has an attention-grabbing improvement.

Final week, the worth broke again above the previous neckline of a small head-and-shoulders sample. The truth that we’re now rallying above this neckline might point out a failed head-and-shoulders sample—often a really robust bullish signal.

Nonetheless, latest weak spot in relative power has pushed the sector deeper into the weakening quadrant on the RRG.

This sector should decide up quickly within the coming weeks to keep up its place within the prime 5.

Portfolio Efficiency

The defensive positioning of our prime 5 sectors is resulting in underperformance because the broader market rallies.

At present, we stay at roughly a 3% underperformance in comparison with SPY similar to final week.

Nonetheless, from the angle of sector rotation, we should nonetheless take into account this rally within the S&P 500 to be non permanent.

The underlying message continues to emphasise protection.

It is essential to recollect that there’s all the time a lagging component in RRGs and this technique.

If the market has actually turned, we are going to see that shift mirrored in our sectors, and sooner or later, we are going to begin to make up the distinction.

These efficiency gaps can change very quickly in favor of the RRG portfolio when the market comes beneath strain and our defensive sectors begin to lead once more.

#StayAlert and have a fantastic week — Julius